This is a short update on the earthquake activity in Askja volcano.
Earthquake activity has now moved to a new phase in Askja volcano. This appears to be a rifting event taking place in Askja volcano. They do often result in a fissure eruption of lava and sometimes short lived volcano ash event. That might not happen and as of writing of this article no magma movement has been seen on nearby SIL stations. That might change without warning at any time.
Earthquake activity in Askja volcano as of 23:25 UTC on 12-November-2019. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
Density of the earthquake swarm has increased from earlier as is clear here. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
It is not possible to know what happens next in this earthquake activity in Askja volcano. The only thing that can be done is to wait and see what happens.
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The experts in Iceland do not think it will be any eruption: “No evidence of Seismic tremor but is considered a violation shaky case related to continental drift movements.” (Google translate does not seem to be that good in Icelandic).
From en.vedur.is: The earthquake swarm, that started the 7th of November just east of Askja volcano, is still ongoing. This morning (13.11) at 7:30 an event of M3.1 occurred east of Askja. Around 1200 earthquakes have been recorded in the area since the swarm started. The largest earthquake was M3.4 and occurred on the 9th of November. No volcanic tremor and deformation have been detected in the area. This swarm is likely due to tectonic activity. Earthquake swarms occur regularly around Herðubreið and Askja, however the current activity is so far, the largest swarm measured in this area. IMO is monitoring the activity 24/7.