Harmonic tremor pulse in Grímsfjall volcano

There have only been seven months since (May 2011) the last eruption in Grímsfjall volcano. But it seems that Grímsfjall volcano is getting ready for its next eruption. Even if the last eruption was the largest one for at least 140 years in Grímsfjall volcano. So far earthquake activity remains low in Grímfjall volcano. But I am not sure if that means anything for the moment. But there has been in earlier lead up to a eruption a build up of earthquake activity in Grímsfjall volcano.

Today at least two harmonic tremors spikes have been detected by IMO. But this type of harmonic tremor pulse have been detected before in Grímsfjall volcano. Older blog posts on that subject can be found here and here. But this time around it seems that the harmonic tremor is stronger then before. Currently it remains uncertain of there is a glacier flood starting from Grímsvötn lake, as was the case last time this type of harmonic tremor pulse was detected in Grímsfjall volcano.


Harmonic tremor in Grímsfjall volcano at 00:21 UTC on 5 December, 2011. Copyright to this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.


The harmonic tremor in Grímsfjall volcano at 01:39 UTC on 5 December, 2011. Copyright to this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

There is a clear change in the harmonic tremor, as can be seen here. But why and what this actually means for Grímsfjall volcano I am not sure. But I am rather sure that this means a new eruption might only be several months away. But it is hard to know that for sure. But I am just base my estimate on earlier experience with Grímsfjall volcano. But it might not mean anything after last eruption.


The GPS data from top of Grímsfjall volcano. The data is missing for the last few days. Must be because of snow and ice. But given the last data set, the change so far it not that great since the eruption last spring. Copyright to this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

What happens next in Grímsfjall volcano is a big question. But it seems that Grímsfjall volcano is going to go for a new eruption. When that might happen I have no idea.