Today (9. March 2023) an earthquake swarm started in Katla volcano. This earthquake swarm is ongoing and information in this article can go outdated quickly. Largest earthquakes at the writing of this article have a magnitude of Mw3,3 and Mw3,4. A swarm of smaller earthquakes is ongoing.
Earthquake activity in Katla volcano. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
It is difficult to know for sure what is going on in Katla volcano. But this activity reminds me of what happened few years ago before an small eruption took place in Katla volcano. If that is going to happen now I don’t know. I’ll post information when I know more and if anything more happens in Katla volcano.
Yesterday (5. March 2023) at 18:00 UTC an earthquake with magnitude Mw3,4 took place north of Herðubreið mountain. This is a small earthquake swarm and is part of an ongoing earthquake swarm in this area that has been going on since October 2022 (or in around that month).
Earthquake activity north of Herðubreið mountain. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
Depth of this earthquake was only 4,2 km and earthquake activity in this area has been getting shallower with time. If this is magma, then there’s not a lot of it at this depth. Earthquake activity is small compared to the earthquake swarms that happen just before an eruption. It is clear that, if this is magma, it is not pushing its way up the surface at this point in time.
Since May 2011 there has been an earthquake activity in mountain called Saftafellsfjöll. This is slightly north of Öræfajökull volcano and south of Grímsfjall volcano. This earthquake activity is now permanent in this area it seems. Some of it might be glacier quakes, but most of the earthquake activity there is not, because of the depth this earthquake activity is happening at.
Earthquake activity in Skaftafellsfjöll mountain. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.Earthquake activity in Skaftafellsfjöll mountain for 365 days. Picture is from Skjálftalísa on Icelandic Met Office website. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
I don’t know for sure what is going on. This earthquake activity clearly shows that something is going on in this part of Vatnajökull glacier. It is my unverified opinion that there is a volcano there. Its not documented and map only show a extinct volcano in this area. This is unlikely to be earthquake activity in extinct volcano, its not impossible, what makes this unlikely is that this earthquake activity happens regularly and has been going on since May 2011. There is ice quake activity in this same area, but some of this earthquake activity is both deep and being located in areas with no glacier. If those are not measuring errors or something like that (I find that unlikely in many cases). I don’t think there’s going to be an eruption in this area, at least not for a long time if it ever happens. This earthquake activity might have been going on for a lot longer then from May 2011.
– This is not an registered or confirmed volcano in this area. Unless there’s an eruption, it might be a long time until a confirmation happens.
Yesterday (26. February 2023) and today (27. February 2023) there was an earthquake activity in Katla volcano. This is mostly normal activity in Katla volcano and no signs of an eruption or that an eruption is about to start. Largest earthquake in this swarm had a magnitude of Mw3,2. I don’t know if it was felt in nearby area.
Earthquake activity in Katla volcano. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
There is no change in harmonic tremors or other activity in Katla volcano. That means this is just an earthquake activity and there is no sign that an eruption is about to happen.
Today (21. February 2023) an earthquake swarm started close to Geirfugladrangur on Reykjanes ridge. This is possibly in another volcano than Reykjanes volcano that is just east of this location, this is because of distance and its unlikely that Reykjanes volcano extends this far south. It has no other name than Geirfugladrangur. Largest earthquake in this swarm had a magnitude of Mw3,1 and this earthquake swarm is ongoing and stronger earthquakes are a possibility.
Earthquake swarm on Reykjanes ridge. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
This earthquake pattern seems to indicate that a magma dyke intrusion is taking place. This area of the Reykjanes ridge last erupted in 16th to 18th century and has been quiet since.
Today (21. February 2023) at 08:41 UTC an earthquake with magnitude of Mw4,9 took place in Bárðarbunga volcano. This is because of inflation that is now happening in Bárðarbunga volcano and has been going on since end of Holuhraun eruption in 2015. Earthquakes with this type of magnitude are going to happen once or twice a year until Bárðarbunga volcano is ready for next eruption and that can take decades. There are going to be smaller earthquakes between larger earthquakes. According to the news, this earthquake was felt in Akureyri.
Earthquake activity in Bárðarbunga volcano. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
Last time this happened it took 112 years between eruptions in Bárðarbunga volcano. With the quiet period between 1902 and until 2014. Shortest time between eruptions seems to be around 40 years, but most eruptions happen between 90 to 112 years from last eruption. Based on the data from Global Volcanism Program on Bárðarbunga volcano. There is a lot of uncertainty in this data, so this might be shorter from what it looks like in the data.
I’ve switched to using standard definition for earthquake magnitudes, as shown here (Wikipedia). This is for clarification and simplification when I am writing about earthquakes.
Today (17. February 2023) at 09:26 UTC an earthquake with magnitude of Mw3,5 took place around 4 km north of Herðubreið mountain. This earthquake seems to have started an earthquake swarm in that area. It is unclear if this earthquake activity is connected to inflation that is taking place in Askja volcano.
Earthquake activity in Herðubreið mountain. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
There has been increase in earthquake activity at this location in Herðubreið mountain, but why is unclear.
Today (14. February 2023) at 01:24 UTC an earthquake swarm started around 70 to 90 km north of Kolbeinsey island. It might be in Kolbeinsey island. Largest earthquakes recorded at the writing of this article had a magnitude of Mw3,5 according to Icelandic Met Office. EMSC is reporting two earthquakes with magnitude of mb4,5 at the writing of this article.
Earthquake activity north of Kolbeinsey island. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
Distance from land makes it difficult for the SIL network that Icelandic Met Office runs to detect the smallest earthquakes. This means there can be a lot more going on that appears on earthquake maps. There’s always a chance of stronger earthquakes in this area north of Iceland.
Update Update at 16:50 UTC on 14. February 2023
Icelandic Met Office has finished reviewing the earthquake activity north of Kolbeinsey and around eight earthquakes with magnitude above Mw3,0 took place. Largest earthquake had a magnitude of mb4,6 according to EMSC. Information about that earthquake can be found here.
Earthquake activity far north of Iceland. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
This earthquake activity appears to be over, but distance from seismic detection networks in Iceland prevents detection of smaller earthquakes that might be happening at this location.
This earthquake swarm is ongoing at the writing of this article and information can change without warning. The largest earthquake recorded by automatic magnitude of Mw3,7 at the writing of this article. Around 30 to 40 earthquakes have happened so far, but that number might change quickly. This earthquake activity has some signs that it might be happening because of magma intrusion in the area, out in the ocean but signals are not clear.
The current earthquake activity on Reykjanes ridge. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
This earthquake activity is in the volcano Reykjanes, that volcano goes into the ocean and is on dry land. Making possible future eruptions both explosive and flowing magma at the same time. To date, Reykjanes volcano only has had earthquake swarms and no eruption. When that is going to change is impossible to know.
Today (7. February 2023) an small earthquake swarm took place. This earthquake swarm started at 11:21 UTC with a magnitude Mw3,2 earthquake and lasted until 12:05 UTC. Other earthquakes were smaller in magnitude.
Earthquake activity in Bárðarbunga volcano. Copyright of this image belongs to Icelandic Met Office.
This shows that Bárðarbunga volcano continues to inflate at high rate. Based on what happened before the eruption in 2014 to 2015 in Bárðarbunga volcano. When the earthquake stop for long time period it means Bárðarbunga volcano is ready for an eruption. While the earthquake activity happens is it is doing today, it means inflation continues in Bárðarbunga volcano.
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