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Earthquake activity continues in Katla volcano

Even if it is December and Mýrdalsjökull glacier has added around 6 meters of snow on top of it self. It seems that the earthquake activity in Katla volcano is rather strong, even if it winter already in Iceland.


Earthquake activity in Katla volcano past 48 hours. Some of this earthquakes might be frost-quakes due the freezing weather in Iceland for the past few days. Copyright of this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

The earthquake activity in Katla volcano is resistant in the Katla volcano caldera and has been that for several weeks already. I cannot interpreted this earthquake activity other then Katla volcano is preparing for an eruption. But when I am not sure at this moment. There is an pattern of earthquakes in Katla volcano caldera, this pattern has been in place since Week 27, but that is the week when the minor eruption took place in Katla volcano caldera last summer (summer 2011).

It is clear that this earthquake activity in Katla volcano is going to continue. I am assuming that this earthquake activity is going to continue until a eruption takes place in Katla volcano. But there is also the chance of the year 1999 event. When a small eruption took also place and earthquake activity remained high for several weeks after that. But after some time the earthquake activity started to drop. For the moment I find that to be unlikely outcome given how long the earthquake activity has remained high in Katla volcano after the minor eruption this summer.

Donations: I am going to try and setup the geophones in Eyrarbakki village and the geophone close to Katla volcano in December. But that trip is going to cost me some money (I pay for the car benzine), but the cost might go as high €157, 1169 DKK, $210, 25.000 ISK (current exchange rates) just for gas (on an car) for that trip. So if anyone can help with this cost it would be welcomed. Thanks for the support! 🙂

Update 1: I am most likely going with the bus. But that also costs some money, around 3900 ISK, 182 DKK, 24€. $32, 20GBP (Current exchange rates).

Blog post updated at 13:12 UTC on 12 December, 2011.

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Iceland this morning

I am just testing to see if everything works properly on the new server. That means I am looking for bugs.


This is the town of Sauðárkrókur, where I have been for the past few months in school. This picture is released under Creative Commons Licence. Please see the top bar for more information.

If you see any bugs. Please let me know about them. Thanks!

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Move to a new host complete

If you are reading this blog post. Then you have arrived to my new web host. This host should perform better then the shared hosting that I was on. But it is more expensive, as the cost is now $145 a month (around 800 DKK, depending on exchange rate). But this should also handle better in high load situation (when something major happens). The fact is that this blog alone had outgrown its shared hosting by an large margin since I did start this blog over one year ago.

I hope that you all enjoy better experience with this new web hosting that I now have. Since it makes the web site load faster and be more smooth then it used to be. I want to thank you all for the patience when this host transfer took place.

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Moving to a new host

This blog is moving to a new and bigger host in the next 24 hours. Please be aware that this might mean some loss of comments if you leave a comment between transfers. The total length of this progress should take around 24 hours from from start to finish.

This is going to increase the loading speed of this web page and handle better in high traffic (when something happens).

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Earthquake activity in Katla volcano

Even if there is December and Katla volcano is supposed to have less earthquake activity during this time of year. It seems to be that currently that is not the case. But the earthquake activity is less then it was this summer after the minor eruption in July 2011. No major earthquake swarm has been taking place in Katla volcano for the past few weeks. But there is a lot of earthquakes taking place, without it being a earthquake swarm at one single location inside Katla volcano.


Current earthquake activity in Katla volcano. Copyright of this image belongs to Iceland Met Office.

Many people might ask if this earthquake activity is something to worry about. The answer is no. Katla volcano is unlikely to start an eruption in December. But if this pattern of earthquake activity it is clear that Katla volcano is going to erupt sooner rather then later. But the question after the mini-eruption last summer (July 2011), if there are going to be around 10 years until next eruption takes place in Katla volcano. For the moment nobody knows for sure.

Other: I want to remind people about the forum. It can be used to ask questions, chat, share pictures and so on.

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Harmonic tremor in El Hierro volcano drops

There was a change in the eruption in El Hierro volcano last night. The harmonic tremor started to drop of slowly. This drop in harmonic tremor comes several days after a drop in earthquake activity happened. But it might be possible that this drop in earthquake activity in north El Hierro volcano might be because a erupting vent did open up in north El Hierro volcano. But at such depth that the eruption was not noticed on the surface on the ocean. At least that might be the reason. But without any data, this is just a speculation. But at any rate, the earthquake activity in north part of El Hierro volcano has dropped down to almost zero in few days time.


The harmonic tremor yesterday (5 December, 2011). The drop in harmonic tremor can clearly be seen here. Copyright of this picture belongs to IGN (Instituto Geográfico Nacional).


The harmonic tremor today at 08:15 UTC. The harmonic tremor continues to drop during the past few hours. Copyright of this picture belongs to IGN (Instituto Geográfico Nacional).

The harmonic tremor drop is something that has happened before in El Hierro volcano. Just before a new fissure did open up in El Hierro volcano eruption. I am unsure if that is the case now. But it should become clear in about two to three days. But it is also a possibility that this eruption is coming to a end. But it has been erupting now for close to three months now. So this eruption might just ending. But we might have to wait a bit until that is confirmed. But at the moment the harmonic tremor is dropping and that means the eruption is smaller for the moment.

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Harmonic tremor pulse in Grímsfjall volcano

There have only been seven months since (May 2011) the last eruption in Grímsfjall volcano. But it seems that Grímsfjall volcano is getting ready for its next eruption. Even if the last eruption was the largest one for at least 140 years in Grímsfjall volcano. So far earthquake activity remains low in Grímfjall volcano. But I am not sure if that means anything for the moment. But there has been in earlier lead up to a eruption a build up of earthquake activity in Grímsfjall volcano.

Today at least two harmonic tremors spikes have been detected by IMO. But this type of harmonic tremor pulse have been detected before in Grímsfjall volcano. Older blog posts on that subject can be found here and here. But this time around it seems that the harmonic tremor is stronger then before. Currently it remains uncertain of there is a glacier flood starting from Grímsvötn lake, as was the case last time this type of harmonic tremor pulse was detected in Grímsfjall volcano.


Harmonic tremor in Grímsfjall volcano at 00:21 UTC on 5 December, 2011. Copyright to this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.


The harmonic tremor in Grímsfjall volcano at 01:39 UTC on 5 December, 2011. Copyright to this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

There is a clear change in the harmonic tremor, as can be seen here. But why and what this actually means for Grímsfjall volcano I am not sure. But I am rather sure that this means a new eruption might only be several months away. But it is hard to know that for sure. But I am just base my estimate on earlier experience with Grímsfjall volcano. But it might not mean anything after last eruption.


The GPS data from top of Grímsfjall volcano. The data is missing for the last few days. Must be because of snow and ice. But given the last data set, the change so far it not that great since the eruption last spring. Copyright to this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

What happens next in Grímsfjall volcano is a big question. But it seems that Grímsfjall volcano is going to go for a new eruption. When that might happen I have no idea.

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New media hype over Katla volcano

There apparently is a new media hype over Katla volcano in the British press. This time around it is from BBC News. The news in question claims that a eruption in Katla volcano is going to have a global impact. This is nothing but a exaggeration in my view. While a eruption in Katla volcano might be big, there effects are mostly localized to Iceland. This was clear during the Grímsfjall volcano eruption in May of 2011. Where the global effect was close to zero, there where some flight disruptions. But they where not something major like did happen during Eyjafjalljökull volcano eruption. So the media is overestimating the effects of eruption in Katla volcano. To what end I do not know. But it sure annoyed me, and the scientists that monitor volcanoes in Iceland.

It is also important fact that Katla volcano did have an eruption this year. It took place on 8 and 9th July, 2011. With a smaller eruption on the 10th of July, 2011. This eruption was however a small one and did only melt the glacier, as it was not strong enough to break trough the ice. My coverage of those events can be found here (the whole timeline of events can be viewed here).

In terms of effects of a large eruption in Katla volcano. One thing is clear. It is mostly going to local to Iceland, it might disrupt flights in Europe of the wind systems are unfavorable. Both over mainland Europe or for transatlantic flights. But transatlantic flight can in most case route around the ash clod if it they need to. But the claim for global effects are just exaggeration and nothing else.

The BBC News hype.

New Icelandic volcano eruption could have global impact

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Growing earthquake swarm in Krísuvík volcano

There seems to be a growing earthquake swarm in Krísuvík volcano on the Reykjanes peninsula. The strongest earthquake so far is a ML2.2 according to the automatic size estimate. Some ghost earthquakes appear to be outside a town called Akranes and Reykjavík to the north. But that are earthquakes that are in fact nothing but errors. This earthquake swarm is tectonic in nature, not volcanic. So there is not going to be a eruption in Krísuvík volcano from what I can tell at current moment.


The earthquake swarm in Krísuvík volcano. Copyright of this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

It is hard to know how this earthquake swarm is going to develop. But this earthquake swarm looks growing. For that it is going to peak in activity sometimes in the next few hours. But when exactly is hard to know for sure. I am going to update this blog post if something major happens. The strongest earthquakes appears on my geophone and can be viewed here.

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Earthquake swarm 14 km to the east of Akureyri town

At 19:22 UTC a small earthquake swarm started 14 km east of Akureyri town. The earthquake swarm started with a earthquake with the size of ML3.11 at the depth of 9 km. The area of activity is unusual, but there are none known fault lines in this area that I am aware of. This area is also a bit off TFZ fault zone. This area normally does not have any earthquakes. I am not sure yet if this are intra-plate earthquakes or not, as this area is close to the NVZ (North Volcanic Zone).

This earthquake was felt in Akureyri town by the local people. How well I do not know.


The area where the earthquake swarm is taking place. Copyright of this picture belongs to Iceland Met Office.

I did record the strongest earthquake on enough geophone to be able to make a plot map from my own software from software called WinQuake that I use to plot earthquakes time, location and depth information with data from Iceland Meteorological Office.


Here is the earthquake location according to my geophones with location data from IMO. This picture is released under Creative Commons licence. See top bar for more information.

Here are the wave form data that where recorded on my geophones (they can be viewed online here). The Sauðárkrókur geophone is a testing geophone that I am currently running. But it is going to be turned off now in December.


The earthquake as it was recorded on the Heklubyggð geophone. This picture is released under Creative Commons licence. See top bar for more information.


The earthquake on Hvammstangi geophone. This picture is released under Creative Commons licence. See top bar for more information.


The test geophone at Sauðárkrókur village. This geophone is noisy. This picture is released under Creative Commons licence. See top bar for more information.


The strongest aftershock that I did record on my Hvammstangi geophone. The wave form data on Sauðárkrókur geophone where not good for some reason. So I do not display them here. This picture is released under Creative Commons licence. See top bar for more information.

The wave form outside the earthquake are ocean waves. They are strong now and show clearly on my geophone. So they appear even more clearly on the SIL network as higher tremor levels. But that is nothing that looks like a volcanic harmonic tremor.

As for the earthquake swarm. It is hard to know what it means. But more aftershocks in this area for the next few days are not impossible. As has been seen before in areas that suddenly start to make earthquakes after a long break.

Icelandic News reports of this event. Please use Google Translate with care. It does not yet understand.

Jarðskjálfti við Akureyri (mbl.is)
Jarðskjálftar við Akureyri (Rúv.is)
Þrír jarðskjálftar nærri Akureyri (Vísir.is)

Blog post updated at 06:02 UTC on 3 December, 2011. Fixing errors in the text.