Today (31-January 2026) at 11:54 UTC an earthquake with the magnitude of Mw5,3 took place in Bárðarbunga volcano. This earthquake was not felt in populated areas. This earthquake is part of the inflation process in Bárðarbunga volcano. This process has been going on since the eruption in Bárðarbunga volcano ended on 28-February 2015.

This strong earthquake activity in Bárðarbunga volcano is going to continue until maximum inflation is reached or until next eruption start. Whatever comes first. Then this cycle is going to restart in some form once a eruption has happened. If maximum inflation is reached, then this type of earthquake activity is going to stop. Based on current data, it is going to take several decades until that happens.

