{"id":4954,"date":"2014-09-10T23:20:57","date_gmt":"2014-09-10T21:20:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/icelandgeology.net\/?p=4954"},"modified":"2014-09-10T23:42:32","modified_gmt":"2014-09-10T21:42:32","slug":"status-update-on-bardarbunga-volcano-at-2121-utc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icelandgeology.net\/?p=4954","title":{"rendered":"Status update on B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano at 21:21 UTC"},"content":{"rendered":"

This information is going to get outdated quickly<\/em>.<\/p>\n

About how I work my data<\/strong><\/p>\n

I do all my data work in my head. Since I don’t have the computer power or the programming skills do so in normal computer. This is generally refereed as “thought experiments<\/a>” I think. The data set for B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano are now huge and it takes me a while to update them and work out what I am seeing.<\/p>\n

Caldera collapse is in progress in B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano<\/strong><\/p>\n

I know that scientists in Iceland don’t want to mention this in the news and are still hoping for current sequence of events to stop. That is not going to happen, it was already to late when the magma found a way out of the magma chamber on 16-August-2014, all that can be done now is to plan for the eventual collapse of B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga<\/a> volcano into a new caldera. I don’t expect the mountain to make it based on current earthquake activity. Eruptions should also be expected without warning around the circle that the earthquakes have now formed around the magma chamber that is collapsing in B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano.<\/p>\n

B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano is however not going to collapse quickly, while the eruption once it starts in B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano is only going to last 1 week at the longest. This type of events takes several weeks to months from start to end. When Askja<\/a> volcano collapsed in 1875 it started sometimes in the year 1874 and did not end until October 1875 (Global Volcanism Program says 1. Jan, 1875 to 1875, 17 Oct.). So this might take more than six months from start to end and might not end until sometimes next year (2015). There is also a chance this collapse is going to take just several weeks. There is no way to know for sure how long this is going to take, since it depends on many unknown factors. There is also a factor that no caldera collapse has taken place in Iceland since modern recording and monitoring of volcanoes started in Iceland (around 1970).<\/p>\n

Current status of the B\u00e1r\u00f0arbunga volcano<\/strong><\/p>\n